Earlier this week, we heard from our principal distributor who stocks several key lines, among them the Hobby Master range of diecast military products. Hobby Master, as it turns out, is made in Bangladesh, which isn’t subjected to the same abnormally high tariffs the Trump administration plans to impose upon China in early May. Unfortunately, this doesn’t mean that Bangladesh has dodged a bullet — far from it. According to the latest tariff plans, Bangladesh will be subject to a 37% tariff, making any products we import from the country exceedingly expensive.

According to our distributor, both the April and May shipments of Hobby Master products are not subject to the tariffs. However, both the June and July shipments will have a 10% tariff tacked on to their existing prices, meaning we’ve had to adjust the retail prices for said items by approximately the same margin. But here’s where it gets dicey. Shipments that do not clear customs by July 8th will be subjected to the 37% tariff already discussed. As a result, our distributor plans to delay the arrival of both the August and September shipments until such time as the tariff picture comes into greater focus. In other words, if the current crisis is not averted and the tariffs do, in fact, get imposed it’s likely that we could see a pause in shipments from Hobby Master, perhaps indefinitely or at least until everything has been straightened out. Lines such as Corgi, Oxford, JC Wings, Panzerkampf and Dragon will almost certainly face the same dilemma since they are manufactured in the PRC, where the current proposed tariff has been pegged at 145%, making them far too expensive to even consider importing. Politics aside, this is clearly a recipe for disaster for a great many industries, not just ours.

Needless to say, we’re hoping that the current trade war is settled to everyone’s satisfaction in the coming weeks to prevent this scenario from occurring. If it should happen, there’s a good bet that product already in stock will go up in price too, since demand will likely remain strong and supply won’t be able to keep pace. As it stands right now, we have ample supplies of each line but cannot predict our stock situation towards the later part of the year should we experience a run on the brands. The same holds true for virtually every segment of the toy industry, so what you see available on store shelves may become scarce at a later date or see their prices jacked up well beyond the norm. You can bet that manufacturers, distributors and retailers are lobbying the Trump administration to re-consider its stance on tariffs, or at least roll them back to acceptable levels so that the holiday season isn’t a lost cause. Thus far its not clear if the proposed tariffs will have an adverse effect on new product announcements since product will still be manufactured for other regions around the world but perhaps in lesser quantities.

If the trade war does goes on for much longer, additional problems could creep into the overall equation that would almost certainly affect the retail sector. For instance, right about now is when most Asian manufacturers are beginning to produce toys and other related products for the upcoming holiday season. If these manufacturers are forced to wait and delay their manufacture, a situation could occur where our US ports are clogged with an abundance of late shipments, a scenario very reminiscent of what occurred during COVID. So even if the green light is issued to make and ship holiday-related products, it isn’t certain if they’ll make it in time to be of much value. Food for thought in today’s economic climate where events seem to be changing on an almost daily basis.

With the Trump Administration’s April 2nd deadline for imposing tariffs fast approaching, it appears as if several manufacturers and distributors are taking a wait-and-see stance when it comes to importing their goods into the US. Presently its not clear how much of a tariff will be applied to product being imported from such countries as China, one of the principal makers of diecast models, and a longtime target of the current administration. Indeed, one of our distributors has already indicated that they plan to increase prices on several lines that they import from China weeks ahead of the looming deadline. Another has thus far decided to delay the import of several lines for the foreseeable future until the matter has been settled one way or the other. Should the tariffs go into effect next month, its possible that these lines will be held up at the ports for several months until a decision has been reached regarding their cost to consumers.

As it stands right now, it may be a rather dry summer and fall in terms of new product making it to market, or at least until a trade agreement has been reached that satisfies both nations. To date, we’ve had to adjust the prices on new product coming in from Air Force 1, Luft-X, Wings of the Great War and Armor Collection. Other companies — most notably Panzerkampf, Legion, Corgi, Dragon and JC Wings — may soon have to be cost adjusted if the trade negotiations fail and pressure builds to import these lines to prevent them from languishing in limbo. Still other key manufacturers — Hobby Master, among them — are made in Bangladesh, may or may not be affected by tariffs since talk seems to change on a week-by-week basis based upon the mood and climate in Washington. To be fair, the president has said that he is “flexible” regarding the imposition of across-the-boards tariffs but as we all know by now flexibility can have different meanings depending upon who we are talking about and when the conversation takes place. In any event, we hope to have further updates regarding the tariffs and, in so doing, discuss possible delays in receiving certain lines as trade negotiations progress.

With the recent imposition of a 10% tariff on goods coming from China, it remains to be seen how both manufacturers and distributors decide to pass along these cost increases to the trade as well as the consumer in both the near- and long-term. In my opinion, most will take a wait and see attitude over the next few weeks to see if these tariffs will either be rolled back or remain in place based upon China’s reaction. Bear in mind, its entirely possible that not only will the tariffs remain in place but they could increase further should the Administration feel it necessary to raise the stakes even higher if China doesn’t get the subtle message or decides to retaliate in kind. During his presidential campaign, Trump had threatened a 60% tariff so now that he’s in office anything and everything is on the table. Presently, its not clear if certain manufacturers — among them Hobby Master, Panzerkampf and a few others — will be affected by the tariff and whether or not companies operating outside China will pick up sales by being located outside the PRC.

Its entirely possibly that the new Administration will up the stakes even further by placing an across-the-board tariff on every country that currently does business with the US, all in an effort to demonstrate to the world that we mean business when it comes to concessions. Over the weekend, both Canada and Mexico, our nearest neighbors and close allies, saw a 25% tariff imposed upon them, so it isn’t a stretch that even more allies will get the same treatment should Trump feel its within his rights to push the bounds even further.

So, as we start 2025, things aren’t looking especially great in the commercial space unless something substantial occurs by one or both parties. Geo-political events being what they are, it could be a situation where one side is waiting for the other to blink before they can formulate a response to the US initiatives. It isn’t a pretty scenario and one that will undoubtedly lead to a scarcity of product and higher prices for what does come into the country.

With President-Elect Trump set to take office later this month, its unclear how his assumption of power will affect certain segments of the business world that currently import products from China. As part of his electioneering and political campaign, Trump had repeatedly promised to place a tariff on certain countries that he believes take advantage of the United States. China is one such country Trump has targeted, claiming they are ripping off our intellectual properties and underselling US-based companies for years on end.

Many of the companies that we do business with are located in mainland China so it doesn’t take a genius to realize that said companies will undoubtedly be adversely affected by tariffs. Many companies could see as much as a 60% charge levied against them unless the Chinese government decides to play ball with the US. Other companies we do business with are located in Bangladesh and Mexico so its unclear if these companies will be affected by tariffs or by how much.

One of our distributors has already indicated that they will be passing along any additional charges they may incur to their clientele until the tariffs have either been scaled back or removed entirely. If this occurs, we will make an announcement indicating that the pre-order price for such-and-such line will be increased, then pass along these costs to our own clientele in line with the revised MAP. We’re sorry to have to make this announcement and/or increase the price for certain lines but hope you understand that we play no role in these potential cost increases which could take effect later this month.